The British people have voted to leave the European Union on the referendum held on June 23. The wait-and-see period is over, thus deep reflection, mature consideration and proper strategic decisions should be taken onwards as timing is important not to further lose European Integration perspective. The exit process officially may last two years but most probably it will take much longer since the negotiations would be far more complex. Predictions and estimations have been made on the different scenario, yet there is no certainty on the economic and political impact of a confirmed Brexit.
As far as EU enlargement concerns, the difficulty of foreseeing the impact is even more complex with too many factors to be considered. Much will depend on how the EU decides to respond and its ability to reform itself and overcome the crises, and to a lesser degree on the reaction of the candidate countries. In this brief we outline the three scenarios of the Brexit impact on the European future of the Western Balkan countries, which are all probable.
Read the Policy Brief by Dr. Dorian Jano